Minority Report

Marble Hill, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bollinger County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 38°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 20 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 6%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°0%
US model (GFS)60°39°1%
European model (ECMWF)60°41°20%
German model (ICON)59°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°41°10%
The average59°38°6%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°25°0%
US model (GFS)46°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°0%
German model (ICON)49°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°35°0%
The average47°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°24°0%
US model (GFS)50°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
German model (ICON)51°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°30°0%
The average50°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°27°2%
US model (GFS)54°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)53°32°0%
German model (ICON)55°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°28°0%
The average53°30°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.