Minority Report

Marianna, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)66°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°45°0%
German model (ICON)66°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°46°0%
The average67°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°30°0%
US model (GFS)50°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°38°0%
German model (ICON)52°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°32°0%
The average52°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°33°0%
US model (GFS)53°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°34°0%
German model (ICON)53°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°26°0%
The average52°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 36°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°38°11%
US model (GFS)58°39°9%
European model (ECMWF)55°38°8%
German model (ICON)59°35°16%
Canadian model (GEM)57°29°5%
The average57°36°10%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.