Minority Report

Maricao Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Maricao Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 84°   Low 69°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 91 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 41%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—73°0%
US model (GFS)86°68°84%
European model (ECMWF)85°66°91%
German model (ICON)80°68°30%
Canadian model (GEM)85°72°0%
The average84°69°41%

Friday, November 13

High 82°   Low 72°   Rain 6%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service78°73°10%
US model (GFS)84°69°3%
European model (ECMWF)84°70°8%
German model (ICON)81°73°5%
Canadian model (GEM)84°73°5%
The average82°72°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 82°   Low 72°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 20%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service78°72°20%
US model (GFS)84°70°6%
European model (ECMWF)83°71°69%
German model (ICON)81°74°3%
Canadian model (GEM)84°73°0%
The average82°72°20%

Sunday, November 15

High 84°   Low 68°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 15%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service79°69°20%
US model (GFS)87°68°3%
European model (ECMWF)86°69°41%
German model (ICON)81°68°8%
Canadian model (GEM)85°68°5%
The average84°68°15%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.