Minority Report

Marion, AL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Perry County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 48°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 13%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)70°51°4%
European model (ECMWF)69°51°53%
German model (ICON)69°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°52°6%
The average69°48°13%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°32°0%
US model (GFS)55°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°40°0%
German model (ICON)55°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°42°0%
The average55°37°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)57°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°35°0%
German model (ICON)56°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°37°0%
The average56°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 35°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°37°5%
US model (GFS)60°37°1%
European model (ECMWF)58°36°2%
German model (ICON)58°32°7%
Canadian model (GEM)57°35°0%
The average58°35°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.