Marion, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Crittenden County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 65° Low 41° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 35° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 63° | 41° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 66° | 44° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 64° | 43° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 67° | 44° | 0% |
| The average | 65° | 41° | 0% |
High 51° Low 34° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 38° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 32° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 34° | 0% |
High 52° Low 30° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 31° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 53° | 29° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 25° | 0% |
| The average | 52° | 30° | 0% |
High 56° Low 35° Rain 3%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 36° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 57° | 40° | 4% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 37° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 60° | 34° | 4% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 27° | 0% |
| The average | 56° | 35° | 3% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.