Minority Report

Marion, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Williamson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 36°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 0°, rain spread 11 points, 3 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°1%
US model (GFS)56°37°2%
European model (ECMWF)56°40°12%
Canadian model (GEM)56°36°10%
The average56°36°6%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°2%
US model (GFS)45°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°31°0%
The average46°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°26°0%
US model (GFS)50°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°24°0%
The average49°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°29°0%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°20°0%
The average53°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.