Minority Report

Marion, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of McDowell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 42°   Rain 16%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 28 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 16%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°7%
US model (GFS)61°44°28%
European model (ECMWF)59°44°20%
German model (ICON)63°43°23%
Canadian model (GEM)61°44°0%
The average61°42°16%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 35°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°6%
US model (GFS)47°37°6%
European model (ECMWF)46°41°0%
German model (ICON)51°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)49°36°0%
The average49°35°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°26°1%
US model (GFS)47°32°4%
European model (ECMWF)44°36°0%
German model (ICON)48°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°24°0%
The average47°29°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°29°0%
US model (GFS)53°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°0%
German model (ICON)55°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°22°0%
The average53°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.