Marion, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Smyth County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 52° Low 38° Rain 75%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 42 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 58% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 41° | 79% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 41° | 63% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 39° | 100% |
| The average | 52° | 38° | 75% |
High 42° Low 32° Rain 63%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 56 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 25° | 50% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 34° | 44% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 36° | 58% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 34° | 100% |
| The average | 42° | 32° | 63% |
High 38° Low 28° Rain 42%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 63 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 23° | 38% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 25° | 18% |
| German model (ICON) | 37° | 32° | 33% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 32° | 81% |
| The average | 38° | 28° | 42% |
High 43° Low 27° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 23° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 25° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 26° | 0% |
| The average | 43° | 27° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.