Mariposa, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mariposa County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 76° Low 52° Rain 6%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 25 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 52° | 25% |
| US model (GFS) | 76° | 54° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 75° | 48° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 74° | 51° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 76° | 54° | 2% |
| The average | 76° | 52° | 6% |
High 57° Low 46° Rain 100%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 57° | 42° | 100% |
| US model (GFS) | 57° | 48° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 55° | 48° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 59° | 46° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 46° | 100% |
| The average | 57° | 46° | 100% |
High 58° Low 42° Rain 24%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 58° | 43° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 44° | 12% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 59° | 40° | 41% |
| German model (ICON) | 59° | 42° | 45% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 58° | 42° | 21% |
| The average | 58° | 42° | 24% |
High 61° Low 44° Rain 45%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 75 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 60° | 47° | 87% |
| US model (GFS) | 62° | 46° | 41% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 60° | 39° | 30% |
| German model (ICON) | 61° | 44° | 56% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 61° | 44° | 12% |
| The average | 61° | 44° | 45% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.