Minority Report

Marlin, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Falls County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°0%
US model (GFS)78°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°52°0%
German model (ICON)77°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°50°0%
The average77°51°0%

Friday, November 13

High 73°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service73°48°0%
US model (GFS)75°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°52°0%
German model (ICON)72°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°42°0%
The average73°48°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 67°   Low 50°   Rain 42%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 65 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 42%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°49°47%
US model (GFS)69°50°23%
European model (ECMWF)66°51°64%
German model (ICON)61°48°70%
Canadian model (GEM)72°52°5%
The average67°50°42%

Sunday, November 15

High 59°   Low 49°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 85%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°47°86%
US model (GFS)61°52°62%
European model (ECMWF)57°49°93%
German model (ICON)54°49°93%
Canadian model (GEM)61°49°91%
The average59°49°85%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.