Minority Report

Marlinton, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pocahontas County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 38°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 50 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 76%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°68%
US model (GFS)50°39°50%
European model (ECMWF)53°40°100%
German model (ICON)51°41°100%
Canadian model (GEM)50°42°62%
The average51°38°76%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 59 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 6% against a group average of 38%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°25°32%
US model (GFS)40°32°34%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°65%
German model (ICON)41°35°55%
Canadian model (GEM)42°35°6%
The average42°33°38%

Saturday, November 14

High 39°   Low 31°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 21% against a group average of 9%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°26°21%
US model (GFS)37°32°9%
European model (ECMWF)41°32°10%
German model (ICON)37°33°5%
Canadian model (GEM)38°32°0%
The average39°31°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 41°   Low 31°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°25°6%
US model (GFS)41°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)41°33°6%
German model (ICON)41°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)41°32°0%
The average41°31°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.