Minority Report

Marquette, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Marquette County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 38°   Low 34°   Rain 84%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 59 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 84%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°78%
US model (GFS)38°34°41%
European model (ECMWF)37°34°100%
German model (ICON)39°35°100%
Canadian model (GEM)39°36°100%
The average38°34°84%

Friday, November 13

High 38°   Low 34°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 85%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°35°69%
US model (GFS)37°33°55%
European model (ECMWF)36°33°100%
German model (ICON)39°34°100%
Canadian model (GEM)39°35°100%
The average38°34°85%

Saturday, November 14

High 39°   Low 33°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 75 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 85% against a group average of 40%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°32°17%
US model (GFS)39°36°10%
European model (ECMWF)39°31°12%
German model (ICON)40°31°85%
Canadian model (GEM)39°35°74%
The average39°33°40%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 31°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°33°0%
US model (GFS)43°35°5%
European model (ECMWF)46°29°0%
German model (ICON)45°29°8%
Canadian model (GEM)43°29°0%
The average44°31°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.