Minority Report

Marshall, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clark County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 35°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 12% against a group average of 40%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°12%
US model (GFS)48°36°14%
European model (ECMWF)48°37°65%
German model (ICON)48°36°50%
Canadian model (GEM)50°36°57%
The average49°35°40%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 31°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°27°14%
US model (GFS)41°32°6%
European model (ECMWF)43°34°8%
German model (ICON)42°32°8%
Canadian model (GEM)40°31°19%
The average42°31°11%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°25°0%
US model (GFS)48°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)49°30°0%
German model (ICON)48°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°25°0%
The average48°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°27°0%
US model (GFS)51°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°29°0%
German model (ICON)51°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°20°0%
The average50°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.