Minority Report

Marshall, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Harrison County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°1%
US model (GFS)76°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°52°0%
German model (ICON)74°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°52°0%
The average75°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°40°1%
US model (GFS)62°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°47°0%
German model (ICON)61°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°48°0%
The average63°45°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 41°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 7%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°42°17%
US model (GFS)62°40°2%
European model (ECMWF)59°42°6%
German model (ICON)58°36°10%
Canadian model (GEM)60°44°0%
The average60°41°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 44°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 79%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°42°74%
US model (GFS)58°45°65%
European model (ECMWF)48°44°96%
German model (ICON)48°43°83%
Canadian model (GEM)50°43°76%
The average52°44°79%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.