Minority Report

Marshfield, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Webster County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)55°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°32°0%
The average54°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°23°0%
US model (GFS)41°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°25°0%
The average44°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°1%
US model (GFS)49°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°27°0%
German model (ICON)50°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°20°0%
The average48°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°31°6%
US model (GFS)52°31°5%
European model (ECMWF)50°32°1%
German model (ICON)54°29°7%
Canadian model (GEM)51°28°5%
The average51°30°5%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.