Minority Report

Martinsville, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Morgan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 38°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 57 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 50%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°24%
US model (GFS)50°37°38%
European model (ECMWF)51°40°58%
Canadian model (GEM)51°38°81%
The average51°38°50%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 23%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°23%
US model (GFS)43°34°16%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°26%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°26%
The average44°34°23%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°0%
US model (GFS)48°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°26°0%
The average48°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°0%
US model (GFS)51°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°23°0%
The average50°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.