Minority Report

Marysville, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Union County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 39°   Rain 92%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 17 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°91%
US model (GFS)52°40°83%
European model (ECMWF)50°40°100%
German model (ICON)50°41°95%
Canadian model (GEM)49°40°90%
The average50°39°92%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 76%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°28°33%
US model (GFS)41°32°65%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°100%
German model (ICON)42°34°80%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°100%
The average41°32°76%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 30°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°33°2%
US model (GFS)42°32°4%
European model (ECMWF)44°29°1%
German model (ICON)43°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°27°12%
The average42°30°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°1%
US model (GFS)45°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°35°2%
German model (ICON)47°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°33°0%
The average44°35°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.