Minority Report

Maryville, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Blount County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 43°   Rain 71%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 78 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 71%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°22%
US model (GFS)61°45°39%
European model (ECMWF)61°48°95%
German model (ICON)58°45°98%
Canadian model (GEM)57°42°100%
The average59°43°71%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 37°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 40%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°33°40%
US model (GFS)46°37°19%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°77%
German model (ICON)48°41°33%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°33%
The average47°37°40%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 32°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 18%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°1%
US model (GFS)48°32°7%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°53%
German model (ICON)48°36°28%
Canadian model (GEM)44°27°2%
The average47°32°18%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°31°0%
US model (GFS)52°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°32°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°21°0%
The average51°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.