Minority Report

Mason, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mason County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)76°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°52°0%
German model (ICON)73°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°51°0%
The average74°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 73°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service73°48°0%
US model (GFS)71°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°48°0%
German model (ICON)73°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°48°0%
The average73°49°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 67°   Low 51°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 55%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°53°55%
US model (GFS)65°50°32%
European model (ECMWF)68°49°82%
German model (ICON)64°51°64%
Canadian model (GEM)72°52°41%
The average67°51°55%

Sunday, November 15

High 71°   Low 51°   Rain 56%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 56%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°46°58%
US model (GFS)72°56°39%
European model (ECMWF)66°51°80%
German model (ICON)74°52°47%
Canadian model (GEM)78°52°57%
The average71°51°56%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.