Minority Report

Matador, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Motley County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°0%
US model (GFS)76°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°48°0%
German model (ICON)75°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°45°0%
The average75°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 45°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°45°3%
US model (GFS)63°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°45°0%
German model (ICON)58°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°42°4%
The average61°45°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 44°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 85%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°46°82%
US model (GFS)62°42°71%
European model (ECMWF)50°46°98%
German model (ICON)50°46°83%
Canadian model (GEM)53°42°90%
The average54°44°85%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 42°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 14°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 63%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°40°19%
US model (GFS)63°45°71%
European model (ECMWF)49°43°82%
German model (ICON)50°43°70%
Canadian model (GEM)52°39°71%
The average54°42°63%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.