Minority Report

Mayagüez Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mayagüez Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 85°   Low 82°   Rain 42%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 47 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 42%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—78°30%
US model (GFS)84°83°61%
European model (ECMWF)85°83°50%
German model (ICON)84°82°53%
Canadian model (GEM)88°83°14%
The average85°82°42%

Friday, November 13

High 86°   Low 82°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 6% against a group average of 23%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°78°20%
US model (GFS)83°83°21%
European model (ECMWF)85°84°38%
German model (ICON)85°83°30%
Canadian model (GEM)87°83°6%
The average86°82°23%

Saturday, November 14

High 86°   Low 82°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 51 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 25%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service87°78°20%
US model (GFS)84°83°29%
European model (ECMWF)84°83°51%
German model (ICON)86°83°23%
Canadian model (GEM)87°84°0%
The average86°82°25%

Sunday, November 15

High 86°   Low 81°   Rain 19%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 19%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service89°77°4%
US model (GFS)84°82°29%
European model (ECMWF)84°82°31%
German model (ICON)85°82°25%
Canadian model (GEM)87°82°5%
The average86°81°19%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.