Minority Report

Mayfield, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Graves County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 37°   Rain 9%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 9%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)59°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°42°33%
German model (ICON)60°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)60°37°10%
The average60°37°9%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°0%
US model (GFS)45°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°0%
German model (ICON)50°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°31°0%
The average47°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°33°0%
German model (ICON)52°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°25°0%
The average50°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°30°1%
US model (GFS)55°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°34°0%
German model (ICON)56°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°22°0%
The average54°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.