Minority Report

Maynardville, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Union County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 42°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 94 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 6% against a group average of 69%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°6%
US model (GFS)56°42°39%
European model (ECMWF)57°44°100%
German model (ICON)55°45°100%
Canadian model (GEM)54°42°100%
The average56°42°69%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 51%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°37%
US model (GFS)43°36°41%
European model (ECMWF)45°38°84%
German model (ICON)45°39°15%
Canadian model (GEM)43°38°76%
The average45°36°51%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 31°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 11%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°0%
US model (GFS)45°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)44°33°18%
German model (ICON)44°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°28°35%
The average45°31°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°28°0%
US model (GFS)49°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°0%
German model (ICON)51°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°24°0%
The average51°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.