Minority Report

Maysville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mason County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 42°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 45 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 78%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°55%
US model (GFS)54°40°74%
European model (ECMWF)55°45°92%
German model (ICON)55°44°70%
Canadian model (GEM)55°43°100%
The average55°42°78%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 36°   Rain 58%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 58%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°32%
US model (GFS)46°35°38%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°76%
German model (ICON)45°38°70%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°76%
The average46°36°58%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°0%
US model (GFS)47°32°7%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°0%
German model (ICON)46°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)45°32°10%
The average46°33°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°0%
US model (GFS)49°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°41°0%
German model (ICON)51°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°31°0%
The average49°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.