Minority Report

McAlester, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pittsburg County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°1%
US model (GFS)69°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°48°0%
German model (ICON)67°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°44°0%
The average67°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°35°1%
US model (GFS)56°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°44°0%
German model (ICON)55°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°38°0%
The average55°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 36°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 25%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°38°44%
US model (GFS)60°36°11%
European model (ECMWF)57°41°27%
German model (ICON)58°29°19%
Canadian model (GEM)57°33°22%
The average58°36°25%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 41°   Rain 83%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°37°85%
US model (GFS)50°42°78%
European model (ECMWF)48°43°88%
German model (ICON)48°42°76%
Canadian model (GEM)48°41°90%
The average48°41°83%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.