Minority Report

McArthur, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Vinton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 40°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 38 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 86%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°73%
US model (GFS)51°41°62%
European model (ECMWF)52°42°100%
German model (ICON)54°43°98%
Canadian model (GEM)50°42°96%
The average52°40°86%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 78 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 64%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°26°22%
US model (GFS)45°37°50%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°100%
German model (ICON)44°36°75%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°71%
The average46°34°64%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 31°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°0%
US model (GFS)44°31°3%
European model (ECMWF)46°31°10%
German model (ICON)44°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)43°33°10%
The average45°31°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°2%
German model (ICON)48°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°31°0%
The average46°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.