McConnelsville, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Morgan County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 51° Low 42° Rain 90%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 32 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 37° | 68% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 43° | 83% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 43° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 42° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 43° | 100% |
| The average | 51° | 42° | 90% |
High 46° Low 34° Rain 70%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 72 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 31° | 28% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 34° | 60% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 35° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 35° | 75% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 38° | 89% |
| The average | 46° | 34° | 70% |
High 45° Low 32° Rain 10%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 33° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 32° | 6% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 32° | 10% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 31° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 33° | 25% |
| The average | 45° | 32° | 10% |
High 47° Low 35° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 39° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 39° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 33° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 34° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 35° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.