Minority Report

McIntosh, SD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Corson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 38°   Low 27°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—24°0%
US model (GFS)37°26°1%
European model (ECMWF)38°32°0%
German model (ICON)37°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°26°5%
The average38°27°1%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°27°0%
US model (GFS)33°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°27°0%
German model (ICON)42°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°24°0%
The average41°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°32°0%
US model (GFS)48°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°0%
German model (ICON)46°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°31°0%
The average46°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°34°0%
US model (GFS)55°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°37°0%
German model (ICON)53°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°36°0%
The average54°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.