Minority Report

McLeansboro, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hamilton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 35°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 22 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 9%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°2%
US model (GFS)54°35°14%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°22%
German model (ICON)55°34°5%
Canadian model (GEM)56°34°0%
The average55°35°9%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°27°8%
US model (GFS)42°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°0%
German model (ICON)48°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°32°0%
The average45°32°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°26°0%
US model (GFS)49°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
German model (ICON)50°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°26°0%
The average49°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°28°0%
US model (GFS)53°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°31°0%
German model (ICON)54°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°20°0%
The average52°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.