Minority Report

McMinnville, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Yamhill County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 48°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 83 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 19%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°83%
US model (GFS)54°49°4%
European model (ECMWF)58°50°3%
German model (ICON)58°50°5%
Canadian model (GEM)58°48°0%
The average57°48°19%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 48°   Rain 92%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 92%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°46°98%
US model (GFS)53°46°88%
European model (ECMWF)56°48°100%
German model (ICON)56°50°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°49°76%
The average55°48°92%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 48°   Rain 91%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 91%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°47°96%
US model (GFS)55°46°97%
European model (ECMWF)58°48°100%
German model (ICON)57°50°93%
Canadian model (GEM)56°48°67%
The average56°48°91%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 44°   Rain 97%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°40°96%
US model (GFS)53°43°97%
European model (ECMWF)54°45°100%
German model (ICON)55°46°100%
Canadian model (GEM)54°44°90%
The average54°44°97%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.