McMinnville, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Warren County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 59° Low 39° Rain 45%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 76 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 60° | 42° | 37% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 59° | 42° | 57% |
| German model (ICON) | 60° | 42° | 53% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 59° | 40° | 76% |
| The average | 59° | 39° | 45% |
High 45° Low 33° Rain 5%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 28° | 8% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 34° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 38° | 9% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 33° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 29° | 6% |
| The average | 45° | 33° | 5% |
High 49° Low 29° Rain 2%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 25° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 33° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 32° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 22° | 6% |
| The average | 49° | 29° | 2% |
High 53° Low 27° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 27° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 31° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 32° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 29° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 17° | 0% |
| The average | 53° | 27° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.