Minority Report

McPherson, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of McPherson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)56°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°38°0%
German model (ICON)56°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°36°0%
The average56°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°29°0%
US model (GFS)48°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°32°0%
German model (ICON)50°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°24°0%
The average49°28°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 31°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°34°19%
US model (GFS)48°29°6%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°14%
German model (ICON)52°30°7%
Canadian model (GEM)51°27°8%
The average50°31°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 37°   Rain 35%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 35%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°32%
US model (GFS)44°40°24%
European model (ECMWF)49°39°22%
German model (ICON)51°40°28%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°67%
The average47°37°35%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.