Minority Report

Meade, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Meade County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)71°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°43°0%
German model (ICON)69°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°39°0%
The average68°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 35°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°33°3%
US model (GFS)56°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°0%
German model (ICON)55°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°32°0%
The average55°35°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 35°   Rain 94%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°35°97%
US model (GFS)53°32°90%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°100%
German model (ICON)53°35°85%
Canadian model (GEM)50°34°97%
The average50°35°94%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 38°   Rain 84%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 65 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 84%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°34°35%
US model (GFS)44°40°93%
European model (ECMWF)44°39°100%
German model (ICON)42°40°90%
Canadian model (GEM)42°38°100%
The average43°38°84%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.