Minority Report

Medford, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Grant County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°1%
US model (GFS)65°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°42°0%
German model (ICON)64°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°38°0%
The average65°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°33°0%
US model (GFS)53°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°38°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°33°0%
The average53°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 44%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°38°60%
US model (GFS)53°34°25%
European model (ECMWF)53°37°60%
German model (ICON)56°34°30%
Canadian model (GEM)55°31°45%
The average54°35°44%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°35°73%
US model (GFS)49°41°74%
European model (ECMWF)47°42°80%
German model (ICON)45°41°75%
Canadian model (GEM)42°39°86%
The average46°40°78%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.