Medford, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jackson County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 69° Low 40° Rain 8%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 68° | 44° | 37% |
| US model (GFS) | 63° | 38° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 70° | 38° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 73° | 40° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 71° | 40° | 0% |
| The average | 69° | 40° | 8% |
High 55° Low 44° Rain 95%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 38° | 96% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 44° | 83% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 45° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 47° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 59° | 47° | 100% |
| The average | 55° | 44° | 95% |
High 58° Low 44° Rain 55%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 80 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 57° | 40° | 93% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 43° | 43% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 61° | 44° | 74% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 46° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 62° | 44° | 51% |
| The average | 58° | 44° | 55% |
High 52° Low 40° Rain 91%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 34° | 94% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 46° | 90% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 37° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 42° | 90% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 41° | 81% |
| The average | 52° | 40° | 91% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.