Minority Report

Medford, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Taylor County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 36°   Low 28°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 20 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 11%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—24°13%
US model (GFS)36°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)35°30°18%
German model (ICON)36°29°20%
Canadian model (GEM)36°28°0%
The average36°28°11%

Friday, November 13

High 35°   Low 26°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°23°5%
US model (GFS)35°30°6%
European model (ECMWF)35°27°2%
German model (ICON)36°27°13%
Canadian model (GEM)34°23°0%
The average35°26°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 25°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°23°0%
US model (GFS)42°28°8%
European model (ECMWF)40°27°0%
German model (ICON)40°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°19°0%
The average41°25°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 23°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°23°0%
US model (GFS)44°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°26°0%
German model (ICON)44°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°15°0%
The average43°23°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.