Minority Report

Media, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Delaware County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 47°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 31 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 92%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°69%
US model (GFS)62°49°93%
European model (ECMWF)59°49°100%
German model (ICON)59°49°100%
Canadian model (GEM)65°47°100%
The average61°47°92%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 90%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°34°82%
US model (GFS)50°33°81%
European model (ECMWF)50°35°100%
German model (ICON)49°37°93%
Canadian model (GEM)49°36°96%
The average48°35°90%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 59 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 30%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°35°1%
US model (GFS)45°32°22%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°19%
German model (ICON)47°35°60%
Canadian model (GEM)43°37°46%
The average45°35°30%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°34°0%
US model (GFS)48°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°2%
German model (ICON)48°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°37°0%
The average48°37°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.