Minority Report

Medicine Lodge, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Barber County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)65°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°42°0%
German model (ICON)64°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°37°0%
The average64°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°32°1%
US model (GFS)53°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°37°0%
German model (ICON)52°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°33°0%
The average53°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 34°   Rain 66%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 66%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°35°77%
US model (GFS)50°32°53%
European model (ECMWF)50°36°78%
German model (ICON)53°34°40%
Canadian model (GEM)52°31°80%
The average51°34°66%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 39°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 81%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°33°65%
US model (GFS)46°41°83%
European model (ECMWF)45°41°88%
German model (ICON)45°41°73%
Canadian model (GEM)42°39°97%
The average45°39°81%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.