Minority Report

Medina, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Medina County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 38°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 58 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 42% against a group average of 86%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°42%
US model (GFS)48°38°86%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°100%
German model (ICON)48°39°100%
Canadian model (GEM)48°39°100%
The average48°38°86%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 34°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 52% against a group average of 83%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°34°99%
US model (GFS)40°34°52%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°100%
German model (ICON)42°35°78%
Canadian model (GEM)39°33°87%
The average41°34°83%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 35°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 65%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°35°38%
US model (GFS)40°36°46%
European model (ECMWF)40°34°100%
German model (ICON)42°34°63%
Canadian model (GEM)40°35°77%
The average41°35°65%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 36°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 20%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°33°20%
US model (GFS)44°40°16%
European model (ECMWF)42°38°45%
German model (ICON)45°36°8%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°11%
The average43°36°20%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.