Minority Report

Memphis, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hall County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°0%
US model (GFS)77°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°49°0%
German model (ICON)74°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°46°0%
The average76°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°40°2%
US model (GFS)60°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°44°0%
German model (ICON)57°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°42°0%
The average60°43°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 42°   Rain 93%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°42°84%
US model (GFS)59°42°93%
European model (ECMWF)48°44°100%
German model (ICON)47°43°91%
Canadian model (GEM)48°40°95%
The average51°42°93%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 41°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 78%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°37°30%
US model (GFS)54°44°93%
European model (ECMWF)46°43°96%
German model (ICON)46°43°90%
Canadian model (GEM)48°39°81%
The average49°41°78%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.