Mena, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Polk County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 66° Low 43° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 67° | 47° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 66° | 46° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 66° | 46° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 66° | 44° | 0% |
| The average | 66° | 43° | 1% |
High 55° Low 36° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 56° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 38° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 39° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 35° | 0% |
| The average | 55° | 36° | 0% |
High 54° Low 34° Rain 5%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 35° | 18% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 33° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 36° | 6% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 33° | 1% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 31° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 34° | 5% |
High 47° Low 39° Rain 63%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 36° | 62% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 36° | 48% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 42° | 70% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 41° | 63% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 41° | 72% |
| The average | 47° | 39° | 63% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.