Minority Report

Menard, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Menard County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°0%
US model (GFS)72°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°51°0%
German model (ICON)73°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°47°0%
The average72°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 71°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°46°2%
US model (GFS)69°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°49°0%
German model (ICON)71°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°45°0%
The average71°48°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 66°   Low 51°   Rain 56%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 56%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°52°45%
US model (GFS)64°48°36%
European model (ECMWF)67°50°92%
German model (ICON)62°55°78%
Canadian model (GEM)73°51°30%
The average66°51°56%

Sunday, November 15

High 70°   Low 50°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 51%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°43°35%
US model (GFS)72°54°33%
European model (ECMWF)67°49°82%
German model (ICON)72°51°50%
Canadian model (GEM)75°51°57%
The average70°50°51%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.