Minority Report

Mendenhall, MS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Simpson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)73°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°54°0%
German model (ICON)72°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°55°0%
The average72°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°32°0%
US model (GFS)58°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°40°0%
German model (ICON)58°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°44°0%
The average59°37°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°33°0%
US model (GFS)61°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°36°0%
German model (ICON)60°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°37°0%
The average59°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 61°   Low 38°   Rain 20%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 20%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°37°28%
US model (GFS)64°38°18%
European model (ECMWF)59°39°24%
German model (ICON)63°34°27%
Canadian model (GEM)60°40°2%
The average61°38°20%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.