Minority Report

Menominee, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Menominee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 41°   Low 33°   Rain 33%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 51 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 33%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°44%
US model (GFS)41°33°16%
European model (ECMWF)41°34°2%
German model (ICON)42°34°53%
Canadian model (GEM)40°35°49%
The average41°33°33%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 33°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 53 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 34%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°34°29%
US model (GFS)38°32°9%
European model (ECMWF)41°33°16%
German model (ICON)40°31°55%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°62%
The average40°33°34%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 31°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 7%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°31°0%
US model (GFS)42°30°7%
European model (ECMWF)43°31°0%
German model (ICON)45°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°29°29%
The average43°31°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°0%
US model (GFS)45°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°29°0%
German model (ICON)46°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°28°0%
The average45°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.