Minority Report

Mentone, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Loving County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°0%
US model (GFS)71°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°48°0%
German model (ICON)71°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°41°0%
The average71°45°0%

Friday, November 13

High 72°   Low 45°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 73%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°52°84%
US model (GFS)73°44°45%
European model (ECMWF)72°47°90%
German model (ICON)72°46°53%
Canadian model (GEM)73°37°95%
The average72°45°73%

Saturday, November 14

High 70°   Low 53°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 95 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 61%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°51°2%
US model (GFS)72°56°59%
European model (ECMWF)70°52°97%
German model (ICON)72°54°68%
Canadian model (GEM)69°53°78%
The average70°53°61%

Sunday, November 15

High 67°   Low 49°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°46°0%
US model (GFS)69°56°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°49°2%
German model (ICON)68°52°3%
Canadian model (GEM)66°45°0%
The average67°49°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.