Minority Report

Meridian, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bosque County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)77°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°52°0%
German model (ICON)79°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°48°0%
The average78°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°46°0%
US model (GFS)70°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°51°0%
German model (ICON)70°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°45°0%
The average70°48°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 47°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 82 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 11% against a group average of 55%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°47°59%
US model (GFS)66°45°31%
European model (ECMWF)64°50°82%
German model (ICON)58°48°93%
Canadian model (GEM)69°47°11%
The average64°47°55%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 47°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 72% against a group average of 88%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°44°91%
US model (GFS)59°48°72%
European model (ECMWF)56°47°97%
German model (ICON)51°46°93%
Canadian model (GEM)57°47°89%
The average56°47°88%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.