Minority Report

Merrill, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lincoln County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 38°   Low 29°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 13 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—24°7%
US model (GFS)37°30°2%
European model (ECMWF)38°31°8%
German model (ICON)39°30°13%
Canadian model (GEM)36°32°0%
The average38°29°6%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 26°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°23°9%
US model (GFS)37°27°1%
European model (ECMWF)36°28°8%
German model (ICON)37°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°24°0%
The average37°26°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°22°0%
US model (GFS)43°29°1%
European model (ECMWF)41°26°0%
German model (ICON)41°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°19°0%
The average41°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 23°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°22°0%
US model (GFS)45°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°26°0%
German model (ICON)45°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°16°0%
The average44°23°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.