Minority Report

Miami, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Miami-Dade County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 85°   Low 73°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 87 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 44%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—73°7%
US model (GFS)85°71°23%
European model (ECMWF)86°73°94%
German model (ICON)84°73°43%
Canadian model (GEM)86°72°52%
The average85°73°44%

Friday, November 13

High 79°   Low 65°   Rain 14%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 14%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service80°64°7%
US model (GFS)80°64°7%
European model (ECMWF)78°67°37%
German model (ICON)77°63°3%
Canadian model (GEM)83°66°14%
The average79°65°14%

Saturday, November 14

High 71°   Low 60°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°63°1%
US model (GFS)74°57°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°59°0%
German model (ICON)70°58°3%
Canadian model (GEM)70°61°0%
The average71°60°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 77°   Low 63°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service78°71°4%
US model (GFS)75°69°3%
European model (ECMWF)76°57°2%
German model (ICON)76°57°1%
Canadian model (GEM)79°60°10%
The average77°63°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.