Minority Report

Miami, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ottawa County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)62°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°40°0%
German model (ICON)60°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°36°0%
The average61°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°27°0%
US model (GFS)49°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°34°0%
German model (ICON)50°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°26°0%
The average49°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 28°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°35°6%
US model (GFS)56°22°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°33°0%
German model (ICON)57°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°24°0%
The average54°28°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 38°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 27%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°35°21%
US model (GFS)58°39°20%
European model (ECMWF)51°38°22%
German model (ICON)55°37°18%
Canadian model (GEM)49°39°53%
The average53°38°27%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.