Minority Report

Miami, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Roberts County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°0%
US model (GFS)75°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°48°0%
German model (ICON)75°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°44°0%
The average75°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 39°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°37°3%
US model (GFS)60°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°41°0%
German model (ICON)57°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°36°0%
The average59°39°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 38°   Rain 93%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°38°91%
US model (GFS)51°34°89%
European model (ECMWF)46°42°99%
German model (ICON)48°41°91%
Canadian model (GEM)45°38°96%
The average48°38°93%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 39°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 76%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°34°32%
US model (GFS)48°41°89%
European model (ECMWF)44°41°90%
German model (ICON)43°41°73%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°95%
The average46°39°76%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.